Análise do regime de metas de inflação no brasil e críticas ao modelo
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Data
2023-12
Tipo de documento
Artigo Científico
Título da Revista
ISSN da Revista
Título de Volume
Área do conhecimento
Modalidade de acesso
Acesso aberto
Editora
Autores
SOUSA, Augusto Allan de Oliveira
ARAÚJO, Raquel
SCHWENCK, Thais Nascimento
Orientador
CAMILLO, Vladimir Sipriano
Coorientador
Resumo
O objetivo específico deste artigo é analisar o Regime de Metas de Inflação e as críticas existentes ao modelo. Para atingi-lo o artigo foi dividido em duas partes. Na primeira foi construída uma revisão bibliográfica sobre o Regime de Metas de Inflação, a Curva de Phillips, política monetária, regra de Taylor e neutralidade da moeda. Na segunda parte foram analisados alguns artigos científicos sobre o objeto da pesquisa através da corrente de pensamento pós-keynesiana.
Segundo a corrente pós-keynesiana, o RMI não é capaz de antecipar o surgimento da inflação, como resultado de uma ação tardia, para conter a inflação é necessário elevar a taxa de juros para reduzir a demanda agregada, o que gera impacto sobre o crescimento e desemprego. Além disso, estudos que analisaram o efeito da Curva de Phillips no Brasil não foram capazes de comprovar a relação inversa entre inflação e desemprego.
The specific objective of this article is to analyze the Inflation Targeting Regime and the existing criticisms of the model. To achieve this, the article was divided into two parts. In the first, a bibliographical review was constructed on the Inflation Targeting Regime, the Phillips Curve, monetary policy, Taylor rule and currency neutrality. In the second part, some scientific articles on the research object were analyzed through the post-Keynesian current of thought. According to the post-Keynesian current, the RMI is not capable of anticipating the emergence of inflation, as a result of late action, to contain inflation it is necessary to raise the interest rate to reduce aggregate demand, which has an impact on growth and unemployment. Furthermore, studies that analyzed the effect of the Phillips Curve in Brazil were not able to prove the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment.
The specific objective of this article is to analyze the Inflation Targeting Regime and the existing criticisms of the model. To achieve this, the article was divided into two parts. In the first, a bibliographical review was constructed on the Inflation Targeting Regime, the Phillips Curve, monetary policy, Taylor rule and currency neutrality. In the second part, some scientific articles on the research object were analyzed through the post-Keynesian current of thought. According to the post-Keynesian current, the RMI is not capable of anticipating the emergence of inflation, as a result of late action, to contain inflation it is necessary to raise the interest rate to reduce aggregate demand, which has an impact on growth and unemployment. Furthermore, studies that analyzed the effect of the Phillips Curve in Brazil were not able to prove the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment.
Palavras-chave
regime de metas de inflação, curva de Phillips, crescimento econômico